Facts
The story behind the signal
Three acts on why the old models fall short — and what we built instead.
Foresight has always been survival
From oracles and astrologers to cartomancy and quantum computers, people and enterprises have always tried to anticipate obstacles — so they could act early and avoid the pitfalls.
Why forecasting matters now
The global economy changes fast: ecologically, technologically, geopolitically. Forecasting is vital in every industry, from weather reports to winning ratios. Managers, analysts and investors rely on it to allocate budgets, estimate trends and plan resources.
The flaw in traditional forecasting
Most forecasting systems share one inherent flaw: they extrapolate past data to infer a possible future. Even with artificial intelligence, the analysis remains conjectural. Contingencies intervene, uncertainty persists — and the farther a forecast projects, the less precise it becomes.
Not datixxia™
Discovery
Like apples falling from a tree…
Some discoveries stem from everyday facts so simple they go unnoticed.
So it was with datixxia™. Used for years by majors to monitor competitors in specific market sectors and countries, datixxia™ processes the data in all the public and private contract awards. As a result, it can accurately and reliably calculate the relative future value of any market sector — and of its players — up to 4 years in advance.
Why it matters
Every business decision involves a view of the future. Public contract awards provide part of the evidence: purchases already awarded, the suppliers selected and, where disclosed, the values and periods involved. datixxia™ makes this information easier to explore and interpret — its value depends on the coverage and quality of the underlying records, and on recognising that contracts can be amended, delayed or cancelled.
Facts for Futures™ — evidence to understand where activity is developing.
Data
Data quality comes first
When you aim to forecast the future, your data must be solid. The quality of any output depends on the quality of the input — so we start by securing the best inputs.
Official, daily sources across 194 countries
datixxia™ downloads data each working day from official central, regional and local government websites in 194 countries, as indicated in the contract references. Sources are refreshed continuously to capture new award notices.
Accounting & normalization principles
We apply proprietary calculation formulas and GAAP-compatible accounting principles, including country-specific and commodity-specific depreciation and inflation rates. Results stay pertinent and comparable, whatever the timescale.
A complementary layer to traditional forecasting
Data quality also depends on how you use it. datixxia™ serves as a supplemental intelligence layer alongside traditional forecasting methods: we supply the data — and the tools to shape it to your needs.
Tools
Simple tools,
flexible exports
datixxia™ helps users examine market activity, follow changes and identify potential opportunities — and brings the findings into your own workflow.
- Download raw data for your own graphics app
- Create basic charts directly in the dashboard
- Export charts together with the data
See the full advantage.
Historical patterns provide context, while available contract dates illuminate commitments extending into future periods.
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